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Breeders Cup Wagering from Back Stretch Al

BEST BET—SANTA ANITA—RACE 9—# 7 GIO PONTI.
I absolutely love GIO PONTI in this spot today. Last year grass horses swooped in and took  home all the money. Clement brought this guy to So. Cal last winter to test him over the surface with this race today clearly in mind. GP is a 2 turn horse, the turf this year is downhill and 3 turns. NO GOOD. The classic is right up his alley. H eis heads and shoulders the best grass horse in North America and he will be the best older horse in the world after todays classic.
 
NEXT BEST—-SANTA ANITA—RACE 4—# 8 CAPT CANDYMAN CAN.
His debut on fake track was a very good one. A stumbled start cost him a the bananas that day at Keeneland. The favorite will have the rail and tons of early speed to contend with. The Capt. will be just off the pace and make the 1st move to the wire just like INFORMED DECISION DID YESTERDAY.
 
VALUE BET—-SANTA ANITA—RACE 6—-# 1 COURT VISION.
Last year COURT VISION looked like the up and coming turf champion, not GIO PONTI. But then he kind of disappeared. His last race, a mile stakes at Keeneland was a very good one.I am betting that he is back to his old form, if he is he will light up the mutuels, and I am betting thats what will be happening….
For the latest in Breeders’ Cup Wagering and Handicapping visit our Breeders’ Cup Wagering microsite by Clicking Here The Breeders’ Cup at Oak Tree, Saturday…

Picks for Saturday November 6th.

Best bet: Win — Juvenile Turf (G2): VISCOUNT NELSON (Giant’s Causeway) was sent on the same course by Aidan O’ Brien, who saddled 2008 Juvenile Turf runner-up Wesphalia (Ire), when winning the Hurricane Run S. before contesting the Champagne S. (Eng-G2) at Doncaster. Despite not emulating Westphalia when he was defeated in the Champagne, Viscount Nelson ran a creditable race as the runner-up, beaten less than a length. He’s never run a bad one in his four starts and the half-brother to Horatio Nelson (Ire) will have a leading chance with a ground-saving trip from his inside post.

Next best: Win — Dirt Mile (G1): The 2008 champion two-year-old,MIDSHIPMAN (Unbridled’s Song) returns to the scene of his Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) victory last year. Transferred after that triumph to the Saeed Bin Suroor stable, Midshipman was laid up for much of the year and only reappeared at Belmont in September where, despite drifting out when tiring, he was very impressive in an allowance victory. With little other early speed expected from his rivals, Midshipman may dominate this field over a surface he is proven on.

Value bet: Win/Place — Classic (G1): Seven months ago, QUALITY ROAD (Elusive Quality) was all the rage for the Kentucky Derby (G1) after his impressive win in the Florida Derby (G1) indicated that he was the leading three-year-old, but an injury thwarted his Triple Crown claims. He made an impressive reappearance in August when winning the Amsterdam S. (G2) at Saratoga, followed by a slightly disappointing effort in the Travers (G1) when he faded to third behind Summer Bird. That defeat may have led one to believe that Quality Road might have been best at distances up to a mile but in his next race, the Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) over the same mile-and-a-quarter trip, he showed improvement when staying on well to be beaten just a length by Summer Bird. Being by Elusive Quality, who sired Raven’s Pass, and out of a mare by the turf star Strawberry Road (Aus), Quality Road should have no problem with the synthetic surface. With plenty of speed, he should get a good trip from his outside post just off the early leaders.
For the latest in Breeders’ Cup Wagering and Handicapping visit our Breeders’ Cup Wagering microsite by Clicking Here The Breeders’ Cup at Oak Tree, Saturday…

For the latest in Breeders’ Cup Wagering and Handicapping visit our Breeders’ Cup Wagering microsite by Clicking Here The Breeders’ Cup at Oak Tree, Saturday…

Best Bet: Oak Tree Race 3 WIN #7 Gotta Have Her (15/1 ML). The $1,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint for wgaering will be run at 6 ½ furlongs on the Hillside Turf Course at Oak Tree and I’m keeping my focus on nice horses that could offer huge payouts. Gotta Have Her has finished in the money in all of her eight starts this year, winning her last two
which were both graded stakes races in SoCal. This mare is loves the 6 ½ furlong distance, last time out she took another crack at it and won, on October 17 at Oak Tree. A solid entry with her work cut out, let’s hope we cash in on this one.

Next Best: Oak Tree Race 2 WIN #9 Kera’s Kitten (12/1 ML). The $1,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) will be run at a Mile on the beautiful Oak Tree Turf course and I’m looking to Kera’s Kitten for some hidden value. This filly broke her maiden and moved on to win a $100,000 stakes race. Rajiv Maragh is aboard today and although this
filly will face some very tough competition, I think she could have what it takes to upset and light the tote board up.

Value Bet: Oak Tree Race 9 TRIFECTA #4 Zenyatta (5/2 ML) with #10 Rip Van Winkle (7/2 ML) with #3 Summer Bird (9/2 ML). The race we’ve all been waiting for, the $5,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) will be run at 1 Mile and ¼ on the main track. Who do you choose in this race with so many outstanding entries? I think these three horses certainly have what it takes to finish in the money. This will be a race to remember, for sure. Enjoy the Breeders’ Cup Classic Wagering and the rest of this weekend’s racing with Team R2D!

For the latest in Breeders’ Cup Wagering and Handicapping visit our Breeders’ Cup Wagering microsite by Clicking Here The Breeders’ Cup at Oak Tree, Saturday…
Bonne Chance! Monsieur Chanceux

Wow, lots of upsets in Day 1 of the Breeders Cup yesterday, one of which was your lady’s value bet, She Be Wild, who cruised on home in a perfect trip in the Juvenile Fillies.Best Bet and Value Bet did not fare so well, but we have a chance to improve today with Day 2 of the BC races.

For the latest in Breeders’ Cup Wagering and Handicapping visit our Breeders’ Cup Wagering microsite by Clicking Here 

Your BEST BET is 13 LOOKIN AT LUCKY in RACE 5, The Breeders Cup Juvenile (8/5 ML). 13 is certainly not the luckiest of numbers, but this guy has the talent to overcome the outside post and the pilot to help him do it. He’s been working very well on the Santa Anita course and Baffert/Gomez are an amazing 51% this meet. Not a lot of value to be had with Lucky, but it looks like his race to win or lose. You might key him with Noble’s Promise, Aikenite or Radiohead in the exotics to get a little more bang for your buck.

Your NEXT BEST BET is 6 RICHARD’S KID in RACE 9, The Breeders Cup Classic (12/1 ML). I know, I’m going out on a limb with this one and I sure hate betting against my beautiful Zenyatta, but this Kid looks prime to pull an upset. Baffert colt has been steadily improving this year while some of his opponents are declining. He won the Pacific Classic (even after his rider lost the whip) and is coming off a very close third in the Goodwood. He has posted a nice string of bullet works here and trainer Baffert has been dominating the Oaktree meet. Look for him to come on late.

Your VALUE BET is WIN/PLACE/SHOW on 7 GOTTA HAVE HER in RACE 3, The Breeders Cup Turf Sprint (15/1 ML). California Flag is going to be tough to run down, but this mare will try to catch him late. She’s the horse for the course, having finished in the money in 8 of 9 turf starts here – plus a perfect 4 for 4 on this downhill course. She’s done her best work for Tyler Baze, who knows how to win for this barn. She may not be as highly regarded as the other mare in this field, but I think she might surprise at a juicy price.

Lady Luck

Handicaps for wagering on the Breeder’s Cup Part 2. For the latest news on Breeders’ Cup visit our Microsite – Click Here.

Well the ladies had their day at Santa Anita yesterday. The Whisperer courted his best bet to the winning line MIdday was a strongly advised selection and proved just that.
Lets do the same today, the problem is choosing which race never mind which horse the list of performers is a mouthwatering affair.
 
BEST BET …… RACE 8 …… # 5 DAR RE MI.
The Arc seems to be the form guide  for this mile and half on the turf. CONDUIT oozes stamina returns for a defence of the tiltle and  gave a solid performance in a spectacular race. SPANISH MOON has been backed of the Uk bookmakers boards has top jock Kierron Fallon onboard  two group ones to his credit this year tough cookie. DAR RE MI classy filly alongside Sea the Stars in lass few hundred yards in the arc. Will have an easier passage today. Takes on the boys rather than appearing in yesterdays races, first time lasix,  getting wieght and has world class jock Dettori onboard, has the task of carrying the Whisperers Best BET.
 
NEXT BEST …… RACE 4 ……# 9 FLEETING SPIRIT.
This is a tough sprint and hard to oppose Godolphin and GAYEGO who has done nothing wrong and will be a hot favourite.
 Godolphins retained top jock however is aboard FLEETING SPIRIT 4 yo has a formidable record in Group races placed or won in 7 out of 8 sprints in Europe. Needs a fast track and will certainly get that. Tough draw but has so much raw speed could gun it to the bend take a breather then go again. Yet again its the jockeys who will win this with their split second decision making,  Dettori best in the bussiness Exacta of the day.
 
VALUE BET …… RACE 3 …… # 4 LORD SHANAKILL.
Where do you start with this power packed sprint on the turf. Some hardend performers SQUARE EDDIE former futurity winner CANNONBALL ran twice in four days at Royal Acot this year. Like the angles on the selections report card.Group 1 winner in France perfomed well against Rip Van Winkle beat him as a 2yo and Sea the Stars,  reverts to sprinting and is in the capable hands of RIchard Mandella for the first time. First time lasix have a feeling he will test this bunch and run from the front.
See you at the windows H.W.

Jersey Joe handicaps for wagering on the Breeder’s Cup Part 2
 
An outstanding day of racing yesterday. I hope everyone had a chance to enjoy it.

For the latest news on Breeders’ Cup visit our Microsite – Click Here
 
Tough losses yesterday for anyone who backed Cloudy’s Night, Biofuel and Ventura in my opinion. There’s no doubt all three ran winning races but just ran into enough poor racing luck to cost them a Championship. Ventura ran her race, but was victimized by some of the slowest Sprint fractions you’ll ever see in a race of this caliber. Biofuel was at least going to photo for win with She Be Wild if not for Negligee bumping her. And Rosemary Jr. ran an outstanding race for 13 furlongs before allowing Cloudy to drift and being clearly outworked in the final 1/16th by Murtagh. My condolences if you backed either of the three. 
 
Our Best Bet, Beautician, sent off at 8-1, ran a hard fought 2nd behind She Be Wild, and paid over $9.00 for the place spot. Jersey Joe is encouraged the we had the right prep races, as Tapitsfly was impressive once again in the Juvy Fillies Turf, while our Next Best, Smart Seattle ran out after getting a bit warm in the post and checking hard around the far turn.
 
Here are three winning wagers from Jersey Joe, The Mile Pro on Day 2 of The World Thoroughbred Championships.
 
Saturday
11/7  
 
Best Bet
Race 5
The Breeder’s Cup Mile
#8 Jacinto
His sophomore season began late this summer at Goodwood. Always talented, he’s finally been able to string a few starts in a row and that gives him a bigger chance of moving forward today. 2nd to Rip Wan Winkle in the QE II, he also got the better of ML 2nd choice Delegator in that one. How many times will we see the “other” European win. This could be another classic case. I’m unwilling to simply forgive Goldikova’s loss as .30 favorite last time and settle for even money again today.
 
 
Next Best Bet
Race 1
The Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Turf
#2 Viscount Nelson
In the Champagne, Dettori came out of the win on Poet’s Voice comparing him to Dubai Mellenium. Viscount chased that one around the track valiantly that day on his firmest footing to date. O’Brien has gone on the record saying the firm ground will improve this one’s chances. Will be laying close throughout. Huge chance today for dynamite connections. 
 
Value Bet
Race 8
The Breeeder’s Cup Classic
WPS
#5 Twice Over
Connections who took the F & M Turf Friday back here with a good looking 4 y.o. Has come back from a two month break in the summer to perfect 3 for 3 record with the last two coming at today’s mile and a quarter distance. The last a Group I shocker at 14-1, punching his airline ticket for today’s contest. Getting good at the right time. 20-1 ML. 
 
Regards,
Jersey Joe, Mile Pro

Breeders’ Cup Wagering and Picks for Friday November 5th.

WIN: Best bet: Race 7: Filly and Mare Sprint. # 9 VENTURA.  While it may be argued that this year’s edition is tougher than the 2009 running that VENTURA (Chester House) won by an easy four lengths, it could also be said that the Bobby Frankel trained filly is even better twelve months later. Lightly campaigned this year she is fresh and returns to Santa Anita where she has won her only two starts which were both at this distance. Similar to last year, Ventura drew a wide post and there is enough early speed entered to benefit her closing style.

WIN:Next Best: Race 8, Ladies Classic. # 8 RAINBOW VIEW.  Cross entered in the Filly and Mare Turf, RAINBOW VIEW (Dynaformer) has chosen this option. Very highly rated as a juvenile, the John Gosden trained filly was disappointing in the One Thousand Guineas (Eng-G1) and Epsom Oaks (Eng-G1) but has shown a return to form this fall, primarily when winning the Matron S. (Ire-G1). Her better showings have coincided with softer ground which may, in addition to the mile and a quarter distance, explain her inability to defeat Lahaleeb (Ire) (Redback) in the E.P. Taylor (Can-G1) on firm turf in her last start. The ability to handle soft turf has translated well for horses trying the Pro-Ride surface and Rainbow View filly can pull off a mild upset for the stable that sent Raven’s Pass (Elusive Quality) out for his win in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) last year.

WIN/PLACE/SHOW Value bet: Race 4, Juvenile Fillies Turf. # 11 JUNIA TEPZIA.  $5,000 yearling purchase showed good speed in both her impressive wins which came in Italy. Has a strong pedigree, being out of a half-sister to 2005 Two Thousand Guineas (Eng-G1) hero Footstepsinthesand (GB). Saddled by leading German trainer Peter Schiergen, she has a favorable running style, and while her form is hard to evaluate, she should not be ignored with Kieran Fallon aboard.

Oak Tree/Breeders Cup
Friday

Best Bet: In the MARATHON,  #5 FATHER TIME (3-1) looms the one to beat in our book even though the morning-line choice just defeated him. Consider this a ‘value’ Best Bet.

Next Best: In the FILLY AND MARE TURF, the Juddmonte roll continues as the classy #6 MIDDAY (4-1) puts away a solid field in the stretch to give Henry Cecil his elusive ‘Cup victory.

Value Play: In the LADIES’ CLASSIC, #8 RAINBOW VIEW (6-1) looks very good to us in a deep field, and the odds should be excellent. The top filly had a nice prep in Canada leading up to this endeavor.

el Secreto

The Breeders’ Cup at Oak Tree, Friday…

Gentleman and Ladies Start your engines, Under Starters Orders, There they go, We Have Blast OFF……..
Blogged to death, talking is over, reputations are up for grabs. Its ladies day at the Breeders but we start with the Marathon……..Clean Sweep by Europe this weekend probably not but let’s put our money where our mouths are and let the games begin.

Its Breeders’ Cup Week, Day 1 of the Breeders’ Cup World Championships with Racing2day.com.

For all the latest Breeders’ Cup Wagering and News visit our Breeders’ Cup Microsite Click Here

Or Wager on our Breeders’ Cup Handicapping Picks Below at Racing2day.com

 
BEST BET ….RACE 6 …… # 6 MIDDDAY.
Filly and mare turf mile and a quarter.. Fascinating contest tactics again Queally the only overseas jock against the rest, pitting his wits against some great turf jocks and conditioners.
 Who will make the pace feeling DYNAFORCE  will go off the front, whoever does will be setting it up for a classic home turn strike from this potent trio of Queally Cecil and Juddmonte.
 This Daughter of Oasis Dream has done nothing wrong all season except come up against top class fillies in Sariska. Henry Cecil admits he has yet to get to the bottom of Midday and after her defeat on Arc day she was back out on the gallops the next day. First time lasix sure to give a boost.
 One to watch is the charghe of Chad Brown MARAM shrewd young trainer who won a Breeders race last year, 5 starts beaten once by only a neck 15/1 m/l.
 
NEXT BEST …. RACE 8 …… # 6 COCOA BEACH.
Ladies Classic mile and an 1/8th. Careless Jewel just has to turn up according to some pundits to reap the glory. Impressive record the Woodbine form has held up all over North America this year and top Canadian jock fly’s in for this mount. Will dictate our of the 1 hole but and it will catch me if you can. Morning reports haven’t been to kind but this gal will be ready. Zenyatta defected to take on the boys I am not so sure that is a good thing when you look at Zenyatta’s last race which included a fast finishing COCOA BEACH. This gal stumbled at the start of that race and lost a good 3 lengths but came to battle back and just go down under a great ride from Migliore. Godolphin are looking to blast off into the record books with this gal and the price is right……..
 
VALUE BET …. RACE 3 …… # 6MASTERY # 5 FATHER
                                            TIME. BOXED EXACTA.
I just can’t split these two classic duellers who reoppose each other after that epic race at Doncaster the third leg of the English Triple Crown the St Leger. Frankie Dettori chose the wrong horse that day but gets back in the irons on Mastery who came with a punishing run in the final furlong . Father Time will play the waiting game today and follow Mastery that I am sure of….. has also a turn of foot but it’s when to use it. Fascinating contest the battle for third? That’s on another page.
H.W.

Its Breeders’ Cup Week, Day 1 of the Breeders’ Cup World Championships with Racing2day.com

For all the latest Breeders’ Cup Wagering and News visit our Breeders’ Cup Microsite Click Here

Or Wager on our Breeders’ Cup Handicapping Picks Below at Racing2day.com

The Breeders’ Cup at Oak Tree, Friday…

Best Bet: Oak Tree Race 6 WIN #4 Magical Fantasy (3/1 ML). The Emirates Airline Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1) offers a $2,000,000 purse and will be run at 1 Mile and ¼ on the Turf. Magical Fantasy is an outstanding filly who has won her last four starts. Her most recent win came in a solid prep for the Breeders’ Cup, where she won a 1 Mile and ¼ stakes race on the Turf at Oak Tree with a $300,000 purse. This filly is no stranger to graded stakes races and I expect her to give an amazing performance this afternoon.

Next Best: Oak Tree Race 8 WIN #4 Lethal Heat (20/1 ML). The Breeders’ Cup Ladies Classic (G1) will be run at 1 Mile and 1/8th and I think this is an open race. A top field of fillies and mares are entered in here, but Lethal Heat could be a longshot worth playing, especially at 20/1. This filly finished second in her last three starts, but last time out she was right behind Zenyatta. She seems to like the distance and surface, so I don’t think she’ll have any trouble with
inexperience. Last year she won multiple stakes races and I think her resume will be polished with a Breeders’ Cup victory today. Having said that, there is undeniable talent in this field and Lethal Heat will face some very tough competition, including Careless Jewel, Life Is Sweet, and Music Note to name a few.

Value Bet: Oak Tree Race 7 WIN/PLACE/SHOW #1 Free Flying Soul (50/1ML). The Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint (G1) will be run at 7 furlongs for a purse of $1,000,000. I’m going for Free Flying Soul across the board in here and I think this filly has what it takes to upset this one. Free Flying Soul has her work cut out and a win
will be no easy task. She won her last start in a 6 ½ furlong stakes race at Oak Tree and has finished in the money 5/6 this year. Mike Smith is aboard and I think this race could be one to remember. Let’s hope those odds go up even more! Enjoy the first day of the Breeders’ Cup and be sure to check back with Team R2D for Saturday’s selections.

Bonne Chance! Monsieur Chanceux

For all the latest Breeders’ Cup Wagering and News visit our Breeders’ Cup Microsite Click Here

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